0x587bcFf09B7e887186A4E2B3086653f10DcD2622-1761420158754
0x587bcff09b7e887186a4e2b3086653f10dcd2622
- Realised P&L
- $96.6k
- Volume
- $4.88M
- Markets traded
- 6,761
- Open portfolio
- $562.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,761
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Seoul vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? · No | 0.793 | 1.000 | $279.86 | +$57.82 |
| Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.839 | 1.000 | $279.86 | +$45.06 |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.015 | $2.37 | −$3.45 |
| Will Inter Toronto FC vs. FC Supra Du Quebec end in a draw? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.020Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?
- +$2.2kat 0.080Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?
- +$2.2kat 0.092Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?
- +$1.5kat 0.110Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-01-17?
- +$1.5kat 0.164Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:34 | Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.95 | $61.75 |
| 10-10 07:31 | Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.92 | $59.80 |
| 10-10 07:05 | Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.4113925714 | $129.59 |
| 10-10 06:59 | Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6866666667 | $32.96 |
| 10-10 06:59 | Will FC Seoul vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.793 | $222.04 |
| 10-08 15:27 | Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026? | BUY | 0.4942222222 | $155.68 |
| 10-08 14:16 | Will Gemini Argon be released on October 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0368575949 | $5.82 |
| 10-07 19:34 | Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $37.80 |
| 10-07 19:09 | Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.241541791 | $32.37 |
| 10-07 18:49 | Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1854477612 | $24.85 |
| 10-07 15:47 | Will Inter Toronto FC vs. FC Supra Du Quebec end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2186428571 | $122.44 |
| 10-07 11:49 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 10-07 11:49 | Will Nanjing City vs. Shaanxi Union FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.6915384615 | $269.70 |
| 10-07 11:47 | Will Nanjing City vs. Shaanxi Union FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7742564103 | $301.96 |
| 10-06 17:47 | Will Javier Milei win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |