PolyBot

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Traders

nel123

0x5878d63d465375cfba27861dca38598ef29287e1

Realised P&L
$17.79
Volume
$337.32
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$152.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes0.6360.655$61.74+$1.74
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5100.575$33.82+$3.82
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.295$19.03$0.97
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.5500.435$15.82$4.18
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.6900.510$14.78$5.22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4400.455$7.24+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 00:29Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?BUY0.6899999821$20.00
09-21 12:15Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.6499999951$20.00
09-21 12:03Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.629999995$40.00
09-19 16:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999975$7.00
09-19 15:23Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5199999927$20.00
09-19 15:20Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.5499999904$20.00
09-19 15:12Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5099999949$30.00
09-19 15:102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3099999954$20.00