nel123
0x5878d63d465375cfba27861dca38598ef29287e1
- Realised P&L
- $17.79
- Volume
- $337.32
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $152.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes | 0.636 | 0.655 | $61.74 | +$1.74 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.575 | $33.82 | +$3.82 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.310 | 0.295 | $19.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.435 | $15.82 | −$4.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.510 | $14.78 | −$5.22 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.455 | $7.24 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.79at 0.537Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 12:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $40.00 |
| 09-19 16:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $7.00 |
| 09-19 15:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:20 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:12 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 15:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $20.00 |