0x58736a475fa30f98a16c4f9955207175dd79ac19
- Realised P&L
- $-9.39
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $40.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.035 | $13.06 | +$2.36 |
| Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.027 | $8.24 | −$1.54 |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.060 | $7.43 | −$4.76 |
| Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.070 | $7.42 | +$2.12 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $2.60 | −$0.24 |
| Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.030 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.029 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.93at 0.650Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22?
- +$7.68at 0.450Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
- +$3.21at 0.600Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?
- +$2.32at 0.730Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?
- +$0.96at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:56 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0974905897 | $7.77 |
| 07-27 05:01 | Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999806 | $2.84 |
| 07-26 19:59 | Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.30 |
| 07-22 16:48 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.40 |
| 07-22 16:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 23? | BUY | 0.2385112461 | $3.44 |
| 07-22 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.6099999664 | $5.44 |
| 07-22 14:00 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.02 |
| 07-22 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.4499999785 | $6.28 |
| 07-22 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22? | SELL | 0.5583194676 | $6.71 |
| 07-22 12:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.22 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.509999995 | $6.13 |
| 07-22 05:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22? | SELL | 0.49 | $5.45 |
| 07-22 04:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.65 | $7.24 |
| 07-22 04:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.11 |
| 07-22 04:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 22? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.08 |