0x58736a475fa30f98a16c4f9955207175dd79ac19
- Realised P&L
- $24.84
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $85.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.210 | $40.43 | +$10.12 |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.140 | $17.35 | +$5.16 |
| Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.038 | $14.18 | +$3.48 |
| Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.071 | $7.53 | +$2.23 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.095 | $4.50 | +$1.66 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.032 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.022 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.85at 0.234Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$13.02at 0.559Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$11.57at 0.669Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22?
- +$7.40at 0.469Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
- +$6.09at 0.388Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 22:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.2982621158 | $13.73 |
| 08-28 13:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.86 |
| 08-28 02:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.452 | $14.26 |
| 08-27 17:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5559999535 | $2.15 |
| 08-27 17:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.55 | $7.49 |
| 08-27 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2709999341 | $2.32 |
| 08-27 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5821874758 | $8.19 |
| 08-26 12:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.306 | $7.70 |
| 08-26 12:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.76 |
| 08-26 12:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.133 | $3.12 |
| 08-25 02:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.2799999682 | $4.23 |
| 08-25 01:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.5929463306 | $14.92 |
| 08-24 15:51 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.07 |
| 08-23 13:19 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2136 | $8.01 |
| 08-21 13:12 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.2299999755 | $5.55 |