pinasblanket
0x586fcde808d5642a7b7d90332cb1bd85d5bbdbc2
- Realised P&L
- $-37.45
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $411.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.39at 0.500GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$4.24at 0.500Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$4.23at 0.500Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
- +$4.16at 0.500EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$4.16at 0.500Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 13:49 | Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.36 |
| 03-05 01:32 | Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 03-04 05:48 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.884 | $7.51 |
| 03-04 05:47 | Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.91 |
| 03-04 05:45 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.888 | $8.35 |
| 03-04 05:43 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $8.07 |
| 03-04 03:57 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.988 | $7.05 |
| 03-04 03:55 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.17 |
| 03-04 03:52 | Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.95 |
| 03-04 02:42 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.959 | $8.15 |
| 03-04 02:40 | Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 03-04 02:39 | Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.01 |
| 03-04 02:37 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | SELL | 0.887 | $7.54 |
| 03-04 02:35 | Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $8.36 |
| 03-03 06:12 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY | 0.85 | $7.22 |