0x586faba6C2096aE2d30F4de99AaE2610f45fe191-1767709317989
0x586faba6c2096ae2d30f4de99aae2610f45fe191
- Realised P&L
- $-91.60
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $4.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.55at 0.064Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
- +$9.00at 0.100Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$6.66at 0.133Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$4.98at 0.019Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
- +$4.44at 0.160Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 11:18 | Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:07 | Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 15:19 | Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0054545454 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:18 | Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:36 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:36 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:35 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.01 |
| 08-21 18:35 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.15 |
| 08-21 18:35 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.35 |
| 08-20 21:12 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 11:45 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $1.14 |
| 07-08 11:44 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.029 | $1.38 |
| 07-03 18:48 | Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0859999286 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 17:35 | Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.0809999191 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 19:39 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |