0x5863ffcbfdace672f1df6d5970be8fb24a30dc73
0x5863ffcbfdace672f1df6d5970be8fb24a30dc73
- Realised P&L
- $6.20
- Volume
- $65.42
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $8.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.830 | $2.77 | +$1.77 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.675 | $1.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.885 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.245 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.335 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.125 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$1.24at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.502Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.562Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:28 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:35 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:58 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:45 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:12 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 05:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:08 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:06 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:10 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:12 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:14 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 16:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |