0x584cabCF9eF8FAAD58E50618cb7c07883f30623F-1769167194827
0x584cabcf9ef8faad58e50618cb7c07883f30623f
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $139.0k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $878.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.409Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.400US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.330US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $26.07 |
| 10-31 18:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 18:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 18:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $6.08 |
| 10-30 04:38 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3190208078 | $97.74 |
| 10-30 04:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 16:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.1967307287 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 16:37 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0237431084 | $95.00 |
| 10-29 16:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.1115471241 | $135.00 |
| 10-29 16:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.392048934 | $250.00 |
| 10-29 16:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.3560361307 | $150.00 |
| 10-29 16:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.1835844574 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 16:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.02961462 | $60.00 |
| 03-14 23:00 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.4199998353 | $1.02 |
| 03-10 11:27 | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | BUY | 0.008 | $12.77 |