PolyBot

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Traders

0x584cabCF9eF8FAAD58E50618cb7c07883f30623F-1769167194827

0x584cabcf9ef8faad58e50618cb7c07883f30623f

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$139.0k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$878.19

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · No0.1880.185$295.58−$4.42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · No0.4060.380$281.09−$18.91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3560.315$132.71−$17.29
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3190.285$87.32−$10.42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · No0.1120.055$39.06−$40.16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.6000.640$27.81+$1.74
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? · No0.1300.095$14.62−$5.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.3070.000$0.00−$417.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.6050.000$0.00−$234.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$20.80
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$95.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.3130.000$0.00−$46.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.3570.000$0.00−$32.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6$26.07
10-31 18:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?BUY0.1299999999$20.00
10-31 18:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?SELL0.08$40.00
10-31 18:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.003$6.08
10-30 04:38Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3190208078$97.74
10-30 04:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.4899999968$50.00
10-29 16:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?BUY0.1967307287$100.00
10-29 16:37Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0237431084$95.00
10-29 16:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.1115471241$135.00
10-29 16:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.392048934$250.00
10-29 16:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.3560361307$150.00
10-29 16:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?BUY0.1835844574$200.00
10-29 16:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.02961462$60.00
03-14 23:00US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.4199998353$1.02
03-10 11:27Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY0.008$12.77