gugee5
0x58477b629af784baaf75fd8fb31f960f7d02a528
- Realised P&L
- $-98.31
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $17.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.53at 0.760Solana above $215 on January 24?
- +$9.92at 0.004Will Trump's remarks not air?
- +$8.42at 0.885Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
- +$7.80at 0.740Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
- +$7.25at 0.910Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:26 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 08-21 14:17 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-21 10:19 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.03144 | $0.63 |
| 08-21 08:13 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.94 | $18.81 |
| 08-21 07:47 | Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.46 |
| 08-21 06:39 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.033262 | $0.67 |
| 07-24 04:37 | Will American Express say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-24 04:37 | Will American Express say "Expense" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-24 04:37 | Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.61 |
| 07-23 14:08 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? | SELL | 0.0162998 | $0.81 |
| 07-23 14:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? | SELL | 0.063 | $3.15 |
| 07-22 13:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 22? | SELL | 0.942 | $18.84 |
| 07-22 12:50 | Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale? | SELL | 0.9485165 | $18.97 |
| 07-22 12:33 | Will FOKUS Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 07-22 06:46 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 22? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |