0x58442a0bd290697a1c5abce615e1773dcd67ed28
0x58442a0bd290697a1c5abce615e1773dcd67ed28
- Realised P&L
- $-1.96
- Volume
- $516.58
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $8.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.994 | $3.21 | +$3.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.635 | $1.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $1.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.640 | $1.12 | −$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.420 | $1.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.27at 0.247Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$4.61at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.310US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:06 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:06 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998975 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 08:13 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 08:02 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:59 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 03:42 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:32 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:32 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 17:45 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2289999857 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |