PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x58442a0bd290697a1c5abce615e1773dcd67ed28

Realised P&L
$3.42
Volume
$148.40
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$16.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2400.745$6.21+$4.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2320.354$3.06+$1.06
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2800.315$2.25+$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7800.675$1.73$0.27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3200.230$1.44$0.56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.2270.112$0.99$1.01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4500.265$0.90$0.63
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes0.4200.115$0.55$1.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:36Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-04 11:36Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-04 03:35Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 19:35Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-03 10:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$2.00
08-03 02:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2319999285$2.00
08-03 02:12Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.22699993$2.00
08-02 18:03Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.7249999819$2.00
08-02 06:36Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3099999364$2.00
08-01 22:33Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-01 14:08Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.75$2.00
08-01 04:37New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 20:36Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-31 12:36Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 01:54Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95