0x583dfa609bad010d11d6dec17f18caa5545f89a7
- Realised P&L
- $15.33
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $129.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes | 0.679 | 0.700 | $129.51 | +$3.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.90at 0.944MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$3.90at 0.920USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$2.09at 0.964Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.72at 0.984EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$0.49at 0.969APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 13:56 | Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.6792438247 | $125.67 |
| 09-12 13:55 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9748230769 | $126.73 |
| 05-19 02:01 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 05-19 02:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $127.53 |
| 03-31 05:41 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.944 | $122.72 |
| 03-31 05:40 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $118.80 |
| 03-24 11:21 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.984 | $118.08 |