0x583a65a12ac3f431bbc0b753958c8acc8deabef9
0x583a65a12ac3f431bbc0b753958c8acc8deabef9
- Realised P&L
- $86.16
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $7.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.051 | $3.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Buffalo Bills in 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.042 | $3.13 | −$1.87 |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Chicago Bears in 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins · Dolphins | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.53at 0.090Iowa vs. Michigan
- +$49.08at 0.060Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$45.62at 0.102Edmonton Elks vs. Calgary Stampeders
- +$33.49at 0.2091H Spread: Bills (-13.5)
- +$33.21at 0.136Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:19 | Patriots vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.0358110959 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 01:29 | Maple Leafs vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.1099999993 | $6.67 |
| 10-30 02:48 | Panthers vs. Packers | BUY | 0.0479999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 04:23 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0517928284 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 03:07 | Ole Miss vs. Texas | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 20:13 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.0489999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 16:56 | 1H Spread: Chiefs (-20.5) | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 01:59 | Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 18:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 04:31 | Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Chicago Bears in 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:28 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:40 | Sabres vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.1300245179 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 03:36 | Maple Leafs vs. Utah | BUY | 0.1738754803 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 01:17 | Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 03:36 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |