malluc
0x58394bda49eb0a0b34f8cc96d72e1df0d493c975
- Realised P&L
- $-27.16
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $195.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.96at 0.689Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
- +$0.89at 0.903Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?
- +$0.67at 0.855Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
- +$0.46at 0.958Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.29at 0.932Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:05 | Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 21:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8559999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 21:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.71 |
| 10-04 21:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 20:58 | Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | SELL | 0.957 | $7.03 |
| 10-03 15:17 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 09:57 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $20.32 |
| 10-02 04:20 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.956999999 | $18.87 |
| 10-02 04:00 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 19:58 | Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.865988806 | $18.57 |
| 10-01 03:44 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.9455715572 | $21.01 |
| 09-30 21:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9659998949 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 17:28 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $5.06 |
| 09-30 06:55 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 21:33 | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.94 |