PolyBot

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Traders

malluc

0x58394bda49eb0a0b34f8cc96d72e1df0d493c975

Realised P&L
$-27.16
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$195.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:05Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?BUY0.998$5.00
10-04 21:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8559999986$5.00
10-04 21:23Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.16$4.71
10-04 21:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-04 20:58Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?SELL0.957$7.03
10-03 15:17Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.962$20.00
10-03 09:57Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.63$20.32
10-02 04:20Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.956999999$18.87
10-02 04:00Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999907$20.00
10-01 19:58Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?SELL0.865988806$18.57
10-01 03:44Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.9455715572$21.01
09-30 21:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.9659998949$5.00
09-30 17:28Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.988$5.06
09-30 06:55Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.975$5.00
09-29 21:33Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?SELL0.91$4.94