PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x583482fBDb66E1A0Aa78262dE7FCf8Bea28a0b88-1771938646076

0x583482fbdb66e1a0aa78262de7fcf8bea28a0b88

Realised P&L
$-111.26
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$73.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-06 20:29Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?BUY0.45$5.85
03-06 20:05Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?BUY0.91$4.55
03-06 14:43US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.9$8.01
03-06 14:23Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.566$4.64
03-06 14:06Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?BUY0.25$5.50
03-06 13:31US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.34$6.39
03-06 13:31US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.72$5.40
03-06 13:31Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.77$8.09
03-06 13:31Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.38$8.09
03-06 13:31Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1$6.76
03-04 23:18US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.67$5.36
03-04 16:43Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$8.72
03-04 16:43Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$8.12
02-28 06:31Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.502$10.84
02-28 06:28Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.019$0.67