0x583482fBDb66E1A0Aa78262dE7FCf8Bea28a0b88-1771938646076
0x583482fbdb66e1a0aa78262de7fcf8bea28a0b88
- Realised P&L
- $-111.26
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $73.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.80at 0.170Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
- +$29.26at 0.164Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
- +$18.55at 0.470Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?
- +$16.45at 0.530Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$15.40at 0.230Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 20:29 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.85 |
| 03-06 20:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 03-06 14:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.01 |
| 03-06 14:23 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.566 | $4.64 |
| 03-06 14:06 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.50 |
| 03-06 13:31 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.39 |
| 03-06 13:31 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.40 |
| 03-06 13:31 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.09 |
| 03-06 13:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $8.09 |
| 03-06 13:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.76 |
| 03-04 23:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.36 |
| 03-04 16:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.72 |
| 03-04 16:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.12 |
| 02-28 06:31 | Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.502 | $10.84 |
| 02-28 06:28 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.67 |