Edison-2026
0x5832a5116429dedb4c1225b4b42d2fca8b46ac2c
- Realised P&L
- $-150.03
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 605
- Open portfolio
- $177.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded605
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.06at 0.396Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$117.18at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10AM ET
- +$47.49at 0.463Dota 2: Team Lynx vs RE.Arise (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs
- +$43.09at 0.695Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
- +$39.80at 0.642Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 4 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.6169154008 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.2019999979 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.4479999914 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.7364502905 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 13:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 17:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 17:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 18:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 18:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 16:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 08:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |