0x58324Af6f3Db9f272FDF67ffC6caF3C9E4c6f55c-1788808026608
0x58324af6f3db9f272fdf67ffc6caf3c9e4c6f55c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.56
- Volume
- $41.19
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.965 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.943 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Luciano Darderi win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.911Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.35at 0.930Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$0.21at 0.960Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
- +$0.19at 0.963Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$0.10at 0.980Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:18 | Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 15:54 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9739999973 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 13:22 | Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9109999852 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 05:03 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 14:02 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 05:27 | Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 23:04 | Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-11 18:00 | Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.99 |
| 10-11 13:52 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.99 |