fhkoey90bsdcqx47w
0x58317807c4478d8153b67942fa05b4d3df943f6c
- Realised P&L
- $-892.60
- Volume
- $70.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $245.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.018 | $64.74 | +$16.65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.455 | $57.98 | −$1.66 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.115 | $57.50 | −$42.50 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.025 | $42.08 | −$0.82 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.032 | $13.39 | −$50.61 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.015 | $10.15 | −$80.85 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.24at 0.157Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
- +$31.85at 0.006Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- +$28.90at 0.200Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$21.00at 0.260Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
- +$11.61at 0.044Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:37 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $95.56 |
| 04-07 13:48 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $51.26 |
| 04-07 13:44 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | SELL | 0.069 | $6.90 |
| 03-16 12:34 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.009 | $4.75 |
| 03-16 12:33 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.53 |
| 01-29 17:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.033 | $59.40 |
| 01-26 17:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.13 | $58.50 |
| 01-24 04:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $91.00 |
| 01-23 20:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.63 |
| 01-21 04:09 | Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum? | BUY | 0.0943913333 | $56.63 |
| 01-15 14:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.50 |
| 01-14 18:46 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BUY | 0.05764 | $5.76 |
| 01-14 18:30 | Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.0063634037 | $12.91 |
| 01-14 16:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 16:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |