madafaki
0x582fe984e7e359858e18f35ee85dc734b4d99cd5
- Realised P&L
- $49.15
- Volume
- $225.2k
- Markets traded
- 389
- Open portfolio
- $5.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded389
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$382.89at 0.129Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$262.92at 0.235Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$238.30at 0.244Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?
- +$179.90at 0.187Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?
- +$162.88at 0.024Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:26 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 09-15 03:25 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.938 | $18.76 |
| 09-15 02:57 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.98 | $27.12 |
| 09-15 02:56 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0206783226 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 02:51 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.12 |
| 09-15 02:19 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-15 02:17 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.52 |
| 09-15 02:01 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0014444444 | $0.05 |
| 09-15 01:50 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 09-15 01:50 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0010704787 | $0.60 |
| 09-15 01:29 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-15 01:28 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.621 | $3.67 |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.27 |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.60 |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.29 |