0x582a541fa9503beb3c4dac2b55ab7c9f6f332c59
- Realised P&L
- $-4.27
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $5.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.280 | $1.56 | −$3.30 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.018 | $1.56 | −$7.71 |
| APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.260 | $1.40 | −$3.49 |
| APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.080 | $0.84 | −$3.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.47at 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.58at 0.597Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?
- +$6.92at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$4.79at 0.805Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$3.19at 0.607Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 05:54 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.5899999931 | $11.11 |
| 05-12 13:30 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999325 | $2.87 |
| 05-12 13:29 | APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4499999857 | $4.72 |
| 05-12 13:28 | APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.86 |
| 05-12 13:26 | APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9099999963 | $4.89 |
| 05-07 06:38 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $9.72 |
| 05-05 20:18 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8 | $19.64 |
| 05-05 20:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.89 |
| 05-05 20:15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.87 |
| 05-05 20:13 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2999999215 | $1.91 |
| 04-30 06:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $21.68 |
| 04-30 06:24 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999898 | $9.27 |
| 04-30 06:23 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999659 | $1.90 |
| 04-30 06:22 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.57 |
| 04-30 06:21 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999748 | $1.90 |