PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x582a541fa9503beb3c4dac2b55ab7c9f6f332c59

Realised P&L
$-4.27
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$5.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.280$1.56$3.30
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$1.56$7.71
APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9100.260$1.40$3.49
APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.080$0.84$3.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 05:54Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?BUY0.5899999931$11.11
05-12 13:30Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4399999325$2.87
05-12 13:29APYX FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4499999857$4.72
05-12 13:28APYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.87$4.86
05-12 13:26APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.9099999963$4.89
05-07 06:38Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5799999988$9.72
05-05 20:18Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.8$19.64
05-05 20:17Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.5$2.89
05-05 20:15Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.6$4.87
05-05 20:13Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2999999215$1.91
04-30 06:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.9299999991$21.68
04-30 06:24Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999898$9.27
04-30 06:23Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0739999659$1.90
04-30 06:22Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$9.57
04-30 06:21Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999748$1.90