0x582408C844919d0E5BB19a17d5ab9cE1F67b7307-1780846005972
0x582408c844919d0e5bb19a17d5ab9ce1f67b7307
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 700
- Open portfolio
- $664.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded700
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.86at 0.535Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?
- +$68.40at 0.326Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?
- +$64.94at 0.698Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?
- +$59.92at 0.401Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?
- +$47.96at 0.766Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-22 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.979 | $19.58 |
| 09-22 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $8.56 |
| 09-22 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-22 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 09-22 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 09-22 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-22 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-22 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-22 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $70.08 |
| 09-22 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-22 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $247.50 |
| 09-22 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-22 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |