0x582408C844919d0E5BB19a17d5ab9cE1F67b7307-1780846005972
0x582408c844919d0e5bb19a17d5ab9ce1f67b7307
- Realised P&L
- $845.19
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $72.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? · No | 0.733 | 0.825 | $50.93 | +$5.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? · No | 0.780 | 0.870 | $13.05 | +$1.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.130 | $8.19 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.66at 0.525Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?
- +$66.40at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?
- +$60.87at 0.391Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5?
- +$49.54at 0.759Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 28?
- +$46.27at 0.761Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.8001458198 | $49.38 |
| 08-07 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 08-07 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 08-07 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-07 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.75842 | $15.17 |
| 08-07 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-07 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-07 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-07 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-07 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.36 |
| 08-07 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 08-07 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.78878 | $7.89 |
| 08-07 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.792 | $7.92 |
| 08-07 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 08-07 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |