PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x582408C844919d0E5BB19a17d5ab9cE1F67b7307-1780846005972

0x582408c844919d0e5bb19a17d5ab9ce1f67b7307

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$67.3k
Markets traded
700
Open portfolio
$664.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded700
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? · No0.9661.000$361.71+$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.9241.000$173.78+$13.17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? · Yes0.9650.998$43.62+$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22? · No0.9770.998$29.93+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 22? · No0.9841.000$19.99+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22? · No0.1201.000$9.99+$8.79
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.9101.000$9.99+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? · Yes0.7501.000$5.00+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 22? · No0.7301.000$5.00+$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? · No0.8201.000$5.00+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 22? · Yes0.0290.001$0.03$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14? · Yes0.5280.000$0.00$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 9? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 10? · No0.8650.000$0.00$20.77
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$1.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 14:20Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.98$9.80
09-22 13:39Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22?BUY0.979$19.58
09-22 13:35Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.98$8.56
09-22 13:34Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.93$4.65
09-22 13:32Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 22?BUY0.974$9.74
09-22 13:31Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.96$19.20
09-22 13:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.12$1.20
09-22 12:24Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?SELL0.86$4.30
09-22 12:21Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 22?BUY0.73$3.65
09-22 11:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.91$4.55
09-22 08:39Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.99$70.08
09-22 08:33Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.99$49.50
09-22 07:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.99$247.50
09-22 06:32Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.91$9.10
09-22 06:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.66$3.30