0x581cd4c8382629a0dd73fd627184c4da603e7d5d
0x581cd4c8382629a0dd73fd627184c4da603e7d5d
- Realised P&L
- $35.05
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $113.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.355 | $63.02 | −$3.93 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.590 | 1.000 | $25.41 | +$10.41 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) · Avalanche | 0.963 | 1.000 | $15.10 | +$0.55 |
| Will New York Yankees advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · Yes | 0.820 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$1.79 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.003 | $0.20 | −$11.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.65at 0.254Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$14.18at 0.671Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?
- +$13.63at 0.522Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$11.91at 0.550Spread: Eagles (-5.5)
- +$6.75at 0.750Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:29 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9633788265 | $14.55 |
| 10-01 02:55 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 02:55 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo Humbert | BUY | 0.8599999965 | $14.79 |
| 10-01 01:21 | Islanders vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.9299999967 | $14.10 |
| 09-30 22:50 | Will New York Yankees advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-30 21:13 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4699999921 | $14.88 |
| 09-30 20:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999804 | $6.90 |
| 09-30 13:28 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.8299999971 | $14.45 |
| 09-30 10:22 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | BUY | 0.87 | $14.96 |
| 09-30 10:08 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3455988396 | $33.36 |
| 09-30 07:17 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | SELL | 0.2253393339 | $12.52 |
| 09-30 05:10 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4161290255 | $8.60 |
| 09-30 04:09 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $16.80 |
| 09-30 02:05 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.509999993 | $14.56 |
| 09-30 01:10 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |