PolyBot

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Traders

0x581cd4c8382629a0dd73fd627184c4da603e7d5d

0x581cd4c8382629a0dd73fd627184c4da603e7d5d

Realised P&L
$35.05
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$113.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yes0.3770.355$63.02−$3.93
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Under0.5901.000$25.41+$10.41
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) · Avalanche0.9631.000$15.10+$0.55
Will New York Yankees advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · Yes0.8201.000$9.99+$1.79
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.1800.003$0.20−$11.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:29Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)BUY0.9633788265$14.55
10-01 02:55Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5BUY0.5899999957$15.00
10-01 02:55Japan Open Tennis Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ugo HumbertBUY0.8599999965$14.79
10-01 01:21Islanders vs. Maple LeafsBUY0.9299999967$14.10
09-30 22:50Will New York Yankees advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?BUY0.82$8.20
09-30 21:13Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5BUY0.4699999921$14.88
09-30 20:12Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.4499999804$6.90
09-30 13:28Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CBUY0.8299999971$14.45
09-30 10:22Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BBUY0.87$14.96
09-30 10:08Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.3455988396$33.36
09-30 07:17Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?SELL0.2253393339$12.52
09-30 05:10Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.4161290255$8.60
09-30 04:09Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.4$16.80
09-30 02:05Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.509999993$14.56
09-30 01:10Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.43$1.29