0x5815D8981b8bF2aE01AE7508a118168caC88aFC0-1757519152163
0x5815d8981b8bf2ae01ae7508a118168cac88afc0
- Realised P&L
- $10.17
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $78.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.500Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?
- +$4.43at 0.530Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
- +$2.94at 0.630Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
- +$1.33at 0.600Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
- +$0.83at 0.850Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-13 14:16 | Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 01-17 14:15 | Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | BUY | 0.3075178639 | $7.00 |
| 01-08 18:26 | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 01-07 21:26 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | BUY | 0.012 | $5.00 |
| 01-07 21:22 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026) | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 08:34 | Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 01-06 22:36 | Will Antoine Semenyo sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.38 |
| 01-06 08:39 | Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.36 |
| 01-06 00:31 | Will Adam Wharton sign with a new club during the winter transfer window? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 12-22 14:20 | Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (December 22 - 28) | BUY | 0.55 | $4.95 |
| 12-22 14:15 | Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.6299999017 | $5.00 |
| 12-10 18:28 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | BUY | 0.8499999819 | $4.70 |
| 11-14 16:25 | Will Trump sue the BBC? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 10:46 | Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.059 | $4.13 |
| 09-30 16:05 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30? | BUY | 0.8699999758 | $3.60 |