0x5811c8AD5DC5990528357ecf1A6D03311D6c0976-1782550886071
0x5811c8ad5dc5990528357ecf1a6d03311d6c0976
- Realised P&L
- $-31.9k
- Volume
- $19.19M
- Markets traded
- 7,638
- Open portfolio
- $19.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,638
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.499 | 0.925 | $1.9k | +$883.03 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.555 | 0.605 | $1.5k | +$122.79 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.925 | $1.4k | +$616.19 |
| Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.453 | 0.485 | $1.4k | +$88.42 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.850 | $1.2k | +$577.68 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.458 | 0.355 | $1.1k | −$322.15 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.448 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$554.22 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.995 | $946.44 | +$442.31 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.716 | 0.710 | $876.80 | −$7.37 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Under | 0.538 | 0.190 | $871.61 | −$1.6k |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) · Lions | 0.490 | 0.475 | $825.28 | −$26.06 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? · No | 0.500 | 0.505 | $595.50 | +$5.90 |
| Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.640 | 0.505 | $510.66 | −$136.51 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Kansas City Royals | 0.390 | 0.965 | $493.24 | +$293.90 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Lions | 0.450 | 0.435 | $424.13 | −$14.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.1kat 0.036Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
- +$7.5kat 0.064Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?
- +$7.4kat 0.015Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
- +$7.0kat 0.402France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
- +$5.9kat 0.057Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 10:01 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 07-09 02:07 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 | SELL | 0.52 | $709.80 |
| 07-09 02:07 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.28 | $491.40 |
| 07-09 02:07 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.44 | $343.20 |
| 07-09 02:07 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.42 | $409.50 |
| 07-09 02:07 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.41 | $159.90 |
| 07-09 00:02 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.44 | $171.60 |
| 07-08 23:42 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | SELL | 0.41 | $799.50 |
| 07-08 23:37 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins | SELL | 0.53 | $103.35 |
| 07-08 23:37 | Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.49 | $878.81 |
| 07-08 23:07 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.46 | $301.71 |
| 07-08 23:07 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.55 | $21.95 |
| 07-08 23:07 | Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.49 | $286.65 |
| 07-08 23:07 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.44 | $272.05 |
| 07-08 22:42 | Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 | SELL | 0.44 | $257.40 |