0x5804131717b70CC89fa2d7Bd6664319476B65516-1772378055248
0x5804131717b70cc89fa2d7bd6664319476b65516
- Realised P&L
- $-15.81
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $1.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.045 | $1.87 | −$3.13 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.88at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$26.22at 0.152Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$26.20at 0.115Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
- +$7.70at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$5.63at 0.640Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:22 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.73 | $31.63 |
| 09-19 20:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.959 | $11.57 |
| 08-24 08:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $1.05 |
| 08-23 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0504380984 | $26.00 |
| 08-23 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $1.16 |
| 07-21 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $1.33 |
| 07-21 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 14:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $7.55 |
| 07-21 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2647058559 | $5.00 |