long66
0x5802be55d9255a7c6b0ced5e1f0db160af246f42
- Realised P&L
- $13.38
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $152.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $77.00 | +$0.15 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $33.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.575 | $17.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.645 | $12.90 | −$1.70 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.988 | $11.85 | +$0.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Up | 0.367 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · No | 0.964 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.35at 0.006Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$8.89at 0.426Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?
- +$7.71at 0.560Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$7.00at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.005Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 09:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.85 |
| 09-27 09:38 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 09-27 09:38 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 09-27 09:38 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 05-18 18:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 05-18 18:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.96 |
| 05-18 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $110.89 |
| 05-18 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.68 |
| 04-21 09:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-21 09:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $1.59 |
| 04-21 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $3.65 |
| 04-21 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.03 |
| 04-02 18:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 04-02 18:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.12 |