PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x57FeeF3153A74aca2Fe84292B020c74ba1393fB5-1768453731720

0x57feef3153a74aca2fe84292b020c74ba1393fb5

Realised P&L
$-203.26
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$1.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9770.619$0.63−$0.37
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.9500.595$0.63−$0.37
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.7900.165$0.21−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$32.72
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.6700.000$0.00−$96.42
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$121.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 00:23Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.9399999887$15.00
09-20 08:54Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.6699999989$96.42
09-16 13:20Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?SELL0.82$97.81
09-16 13:18Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.89$1.15
09-16 13:18Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.968$1.00
09-03 23:01Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.64$76.34
08-26 13:29Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8979999993$70.58
08-25 03:10Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.553$73.10
08-21 23:50Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7409999987$97.95
08-14 23:22Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.9199999939$121.64
07-18 22:50Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19?SELL0.8$22.15
07-18 22:24Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19?BUY0.862700829$1.00
07-04 12:27Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.9369999997$100.00
07-02 08:30Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?BUY0.7399999981$79.13
07-02 08:30Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.903$0.96