0x57FeeF3153A74aca2Fe84292B020c74ba1393fB5-1768453731720
0x57feef3153a74aca2fe84292b020c74ba1393fb5
- Realised P&L
- $-203.26
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $1.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.977 | 0.619 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.595 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.790 | 0.165 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.72 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.42 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.36at 0.753Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?
- +$18.31at 0.656Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
- +$8.57at 0.700Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
- +$7.39at 0.906Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$6.28at 0.941Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999989 | $96.42 |
| 09-16 13:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $97.81 |
| 09-16 13:18 | Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.15 |
| 09-16 13:18 | Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.968 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 23:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $76.34 |
| 08-26 13:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8979999993 | $70.58 |
| 08-25 03:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.553 | $73.10 |
| 08-21 23:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7409999987 | $97.95 |
| 08-14 23:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9199999939 | $121.64 |
| 07-18 22:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.8 | $22.15 |
| 07-18 22:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.862700829 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 12:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9369999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 08:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July? | BUY | 0.7399999981 | $79.13 |
| 07-02 08:30 | Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.903 | $0.96 |