0x57fc80CA86f3fbbCD0EdF7c6921AAB640065c71c-1781039672345
0x57fc80ca86f3fbbcd0edf7c6921aab640065c71c
- Realised P&L
- $-37.13
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $19.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.140 | $19.60 | −$26.76 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.64 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.148Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$1.64at 0.366Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$1.59at 0.457Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.72at 0.547Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$0.68at 0.557Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 03:09 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.3299999964 | $46.36 |
| 07-04 21:33 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3659999927 | $22.64 |
| 07-04 20:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $2.61 |
| 07-04 20:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 07-04 20:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999622 | $4.00 |
| 07-04 20:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $3.45 |
| 07-04 20:06 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 20:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $6.04 |
| 07-04 20:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 17:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 17:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1223529169 | $4.00 |
| 07-04 17:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $4.20 |
| 07-04 17:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 07-04 17:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $7.43 |
| 07-04 17:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |