venisonBlack
0x57f12c439de4b7a9d55d108c57b38d7f79df0488
- Realised P&L
- $-2.93
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $26.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.004 | $26.29 | −$2.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.91at 0.530Blue Jackets vs. Flames
- +$9.90at 0.520Houston vs. UCF
- +$5.94at 0.500Raptors vs. Hawks
- +$3.60at 0.680Warriors vs. Heat
- +$-0.20at 0.570North Texas vs. Tulane
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-25 17:17 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.4399999615 | $1.83 |
| 12-23 21:05 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $14.58 |
| 12-23 16:23 | Knicks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.2899998819 | $1.08 |
| 12-18 20:54 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $14.63 |
| 12-17 23:33 | Utah vs. Red Wings | SELL | 0.47 | $15.12 |
| 12-17 23:23 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $29.94 |
| 12-17 18:07 | Utah vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.4799999751 | $3.86 |
| 12-17 18:00 | Utah vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.4799999751 | $3.86 |
| 12-17 17:54 | Utah vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.4799999751 | $3.86 |
| 12-17 17:47 | Utah vs. Red Wings | BUY | 0.4799999751 | $3.86 |
| 12-12 15:25 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $12.64 |
| 12-11 04:46 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $24.79 |
| 12-09 12:20 | Devils vs. Senators | BUY | 0.56 | $4.34 |
| 12-05 19:52 | North Texas vs. Tulane | SELL | 0.54 | $3.61 |
| 12-05 10:24 | North Texas vs. Tulane | BUY | 0.5699999806 | $3.81 |