0x57ecddbe8456126f4de772dc1a349f357498885b
- Realised P&L
- $-33.70
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.140 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.295 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.76at 0.099Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.75at 0.178XRP Up or Down - July 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$7.30at 0.302XRP Up or Down - July 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$5.17at 0.171XRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$4.20at 0.202XRP Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:03 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.86 |
| 08-17 15:03 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.95 |
| 08-17 15:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.52 | $1.86 |
| 08-17 15:02 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | SELL | 0.8836190476 | $0.93 |
| 08-17 15:02 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.863 | $1.80 |
| 08-17 15:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.02 |
| 08-17 15:01 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.06 |
| 08-17 15:01 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.06 |
| 08-17 14:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.53 |
| 08-17 14:39 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.48 | $6.24 |
| 08-17 14:39 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.78 |
| 08-17 14:34 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.37 |
| 08-17 14:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.43 |
| 08-17 14:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.33 |
| 08-17 14:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.02 |