PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x57ecddbe8456126f4de772dc1a349f357498885b

Realised P&L
$-33.70
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
326
Open portfolio
$1.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded326
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1800.140$0.78$0.22
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5300.295$0.56$0.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 15:03Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.32$0.86
08-17 15:03Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.85$0.95
08-17 15:022026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.52$1.86
08-17 15:02Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?SELL0.8836190476$0.93
08-17 15:02Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.863$1.80
08-17 15:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.82$1.02
08-17 15:01Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.91$1.06
08-17 15:01Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.91$1.06
08-17 14:40Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.12$3.53
08-17 14:39Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.48$6.24
08-17 14:39Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.87$5.78
08-17 14:34Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.66$0.37
08-17 14:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.88$1.43
08-17 14:34Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.87$2.33
08-17 14:34Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$2.02