vvhhii9
0x57ec5d72b162624bcc900c4c7ab4682095f1f569
- Realised P&L
- $-212.69
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $42.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.974 | $35.05 | +$0.59 |
| Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.892 | 0.898 | $7.10 | +$0.05 |
| Stars vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.983Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.55at 0.988Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.39at 0.992Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.34at 0.980Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$0.30at 0.994Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:26 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.99 |
| 08-04 08:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 07-29 12:49 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 08:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.983 | $49.33 |
| 03-31 06:28 | Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.47 |
| 03-31 06:28 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.00 |
| 03-31 06:27 | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.40 |
| 01-21 05:34 | Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $45.52 |
| 01-21 05:34 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.52 |
| 01-21 05:33 | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.8799999865 | $2.61 |
| 12-16 10:36 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9949999877 | $45.35 |
| 12-16 10:35 | Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.991 | $45.35 |
| 11-30 08:20 | Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.992 | $45.40 |
| 11-30 08:19 | Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.994 | $45.40 |
| 11-17 11:49 | Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $45.45 |