Pulpo94
0x57ea04cdf02731d1df7d55286ce5dbaae04bb601
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $343.3k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.750 | $2.1k | +$83.34 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.781 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.7k |
| China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$650.00 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.735 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.592UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$989.17at 0.512US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina
- +$935.68at 0.158Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$853.48at 0.472Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 09:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8023415887 | $5.0k |
| 10-06 20:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.843586277 | $1.2k |
| 10-06 20:04 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.9 | $286.63 |
| 10-06 19:58 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.6544913338 | $208.44 |
| 10-06 19:58 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.1k |
| 10-05 00:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8499999987 | $500.00 |
| 10-04 21:32 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.07 | $53.85 |
| 10-04 21:07 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 17:33 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0944657658 | $592.26 |
| 10-04 17:20 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $650.00 |
| 10-04 14:10 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.1073107535 | $672.80 |
| 10-02 16:33 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $700.00 |
| 10-02 15:56 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0797498081 | $1000.00 |
| 10-01 16:43 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.75 | $1000.00 |
| 10-01 15:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6170309158 | $1.0k |