Marks1000
0x57e7c7ef2a44ff08d724d0054fa2b648f93db491
- Realised P&L
- $40.9k
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $56.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.567Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$12.3kat 0.578Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$12.1kat 0.621Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$8.3kat 0.693Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
- +$7.8kat 0.591Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 22:43 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.1168560678 | $191.30 |
| 07-23 22:39 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2913396138 | $1.4k |
| 07-23 22:37 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2632632696 | $265.40 |
| 07-23 22:36 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2294718472 | $303.74 |
| 07-23 22:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5598688408 | $8.2k |
| 07-23 21:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5356437228 | $14.2k |
| 07-23 21:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5046339627 | $25.9k |
| 01-21 01:51 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.024 | $66.67 |
| 01-19 08:36 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $100.00 |
| 12-01 04:54 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5802662755 | $2.7k |
| 12-01 04:54 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.530014613 | $4.2k |
| 11-27 21:52 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6439514357 | $1.7k |
| 11-27 21:41 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | SELL | 0.5398937843 | $20.6k |
| 11-27 09:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5695554789 | $1.2k |
| 11-27 09:32 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.2k |