PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Marks1000

0x57e7c7ef2a44ff08d724d0054fa2b648f93db491

Realised P&L
$40.9k
Volume
$1.16M
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$56.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5220.585$54.1k+$5.8k
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2760.315$2.3k+$281.34
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · Yes0.1170.135$221.01+$29.70
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? · No0.5550.000$0.00$193.27
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July? · No0.4080.000$0.00$11.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$284.74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$354.89
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? · No0.4240.000$0.00$97.67
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$90.84
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$12.99
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$5.2k
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$236.35
Israel strike on Damascus by July 31? · No0.8800.000$0.00$47.38
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$511.30
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July? · No0.5840.000$0.00$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 22:43Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.1168560678$191.30
07-23 22:39Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.2913396138$1.4k
07-23 22:37Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.2632632696$265.40
07-23 22:36Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.2294718472$303.74
07-23 22:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5598688408$8.2k
07-23 21:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5356437228$14.2k
07-23 21:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5046339627$25.9k
01-21 01:51Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.024$66.67
01-19 08:36Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.0359999997$100.00
12-01 04:54Maduro out by March 31, 2026?SELL0.5802662755$2.7k
12-01 04:54US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.530014613$4.2k
11-27 21:52Maduro out by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6439514357$1.7k
11-27 21:41Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?SELL0.5398937843$20.6k
11-27 09:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.5695554789$1.2k
11-27 09:32Maduro out by March 31, 2026?SELL0.59$1.2k