aaaiikk
0x57e7a51cb55b8dba3545460cfdbffbe03ccdbc87
- Realised P&L
- $-24.03
- Volume
- $115.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $302.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.038 | $302.88 | −$397.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.85 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? · No | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$826.02at 0.599Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$226.72at 0.286Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$166.28at 0.851Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$14.10at 0.279Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $100.00 |
| 04-28 13:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 12:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1514116601 | $87.78 |
| 04-17 08:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1190134634 | $280.00 |
| 04-17 08:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-16 15:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.1k |
| 04-15 00:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.6599999998 | $855.94 |
| 04-14 23:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $95.54 |
| 04-14 23:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3500414528 | $1.2k |
| 04-14 23:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.67 | $87.72 |
| 04-14 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 04-14 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.68 |
| 04-14 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.48 |
| 04-14 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 04-14 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |