u3rhi32h7
0x57e4ca39e930446741716509a20f73ba6a577bec
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $87.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $15.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.521 | 0.565 | $9.5k | +$733.95 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.502 | 0.684 | $2.6k | +$685.52 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.480 | $2.2k | −$322.95 |
| Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.285 | $1.1k | −$115.68 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.380 | $282.69 | +$32.20 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.053 | $9.06 | −$2.62 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$293.64 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.239Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
- +$1.5kat 0.796Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.531Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?
- +$191.18at 0.275Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$88.42at 0.646Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4796423333 | $287.79 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4675724788 | $202.24 |
| 09-15 04:42 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $427.50 |
| 09-14 03:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $290.00 |
| 09-14 03:30 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $145.00 |
| 09-14 03:30 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $290.00 |
| 09-14 03:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.82 |
| 09-14 03:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5759677419 | $142.84 |
| 09-14 03:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5617538377 | $595.02 |
| 09-14 03:22 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $39.78 |
| 09-11 14:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $276.36 |
| 09-11 14:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $276.36 |
| 09-10 20:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 09-10 20:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 09-10 20:17 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $405.36 |