0x57E3C17158B9236173f03dEfdD71BEf2832cA500-1774574555762
0x57e3c17158b9236173f03defdd71bef2832ca500
- Realised P&L
- $-11.14
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $1.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? · Up | 0.840 | 0.855 | $1.55 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.54at 0.745Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
- +$3.89at 0.539Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?
- +$3.51at 0.750Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
- +$3.16at 0.746Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?
- +$2.90at 0.443Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:53 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8399999116 | $1.52 |
| 09-15 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.66 |
| 09-15 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.17 |
| 09-15 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.66 |
| 09-15 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.18 |
| 09-15 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.9819999949 | $2.33 |
| 09-15 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.9699994105 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.75 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.88 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.88 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.71 |
| 09-14 15:44 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.75 |
| 09-14 15:43 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.988 | $0.70 |
| 09-14 15:33 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.9399999888 | $1.68 |
| 09-14 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.13 |