0x7f2DD8eCA5f2d5FCEbcA08625388845160b22BFe-1766401039469
0x57e16610d06d4184bee25317f7897a95f30f9a45
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $361.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.04at 0.125Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$-10.38at 0.156Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
- +$-43.66at 0.092Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 08:54 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.0995815961 | $27.18 |
| 06-09 15:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1370466411 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 09:57 | Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.0233707574 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 08:57 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0340065882 | $30.00 |
| 06-04 06:01 | Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.0195425361 | $9.74 |
| 06-04 05:57 | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | SELL | 0.0466404206 | $9.98 |
| 06-03 07:46 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? | BUY | 0.1302730518 | $64.30 |
| 06-03 07:36 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $69.56 |
| 06-02 18:06 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June? | BUY | 0.0926760047 | $30.40 |
| 06-02 18:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1343985925 | $33.61 |
| 05-29 10:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0426793585 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 10:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.1111862625 | $40.00 |
| 05-29 10:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 05-29 10:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $70.02 |
| 05-28 10:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $30.52 |