Vasari
0x57db0a169b7d9e95e0180415a0d50298ff3cf13a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $560.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.915 | $560.71 | +$260.71 |
| Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.97 |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-16? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No | 0.504 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.00 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.334 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up | 0.348 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$757.90at 0.190Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
- +$2.40at 0.293Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$1.25at 0.324Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$0.43at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$-0.10at 0.720Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:43 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.489559396 | $300.00 |
| 09-12 19:25 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.0928183929 | $211.06 |
| 08-13 12:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2638611774 | $600.00 |
| 05-19 06:43 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $38.15 |
| 05-12 17:56 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 17:56 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2598700633 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 17:55 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0716282848 | $46.56 |
| 05-12 13:07 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1538544143 | $100.00 |
| 04-18 10:56 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $44.68 |
| 03-11 19:59 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | SELL | 0.91 | $957.89 |
| 03-01 01:43 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.006 | $26.40 |
| 02-28 19:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0457559738 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 19:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0369999983 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 19:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.0365879466 | $10.00 |
| 02-17 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $9.76 |