zervany
0x57cd3ebbd2acea67b02ce271c034753d549cac1a
- Realised P&L
- $18.56
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $6.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$4.74at 0.241Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?
- +$4.50at 0.190Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$4.09at 0.366Ethereum Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$3.97at 0.697Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.01 |
| 10-19 17:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.0265494554 | $1.50 |
| 10-19 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5899998476 | $1.51 |
| 10-19 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.8599999607 | $1.75 |
| 10-19 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.8399999669 | $2.03 |
| 10-18 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.659999824 | $1.05 |
| 10-18 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.8699999801 | $1.75 |
| 10-18 13:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.232 | $1.45 |
| 10-18 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.50 |
| 10-18 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-18 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.72 |
| 10-17 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.8499999433 | $1.50 |
| 10-17 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.6299998904 | $1.61 |
| 10-17 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |