lastdays247
0x57c883436f75f4bdd64681088a07c4b7fddd69eb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $324.6k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.470Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$4.00at 0.200Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?
- +$3.86at 0.228Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.006Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February?
- +$2.33at 0.288Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.41 |
| 09-26 03:45 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.0727272727 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 12°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.38 |
| 09-25 15:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.01 |
| 09-25 08:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.33 |
| 09-25 04:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.29 |
| 09-24 21:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 09:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.23 |
| 09-24 08:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 08:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:31 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.03 |