poptree
0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa
- Realised P&L
- $348.3k
- Volume
- $18.41M
- Markets traded
- 627
- Open portfolio
- $53.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded627
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.0kat 0.678Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$22.7kat 0.122Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$18.8kat 0.833Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$15.9kat 0.733Biden drops out in July?
- +$15.6kat 0.523Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:11 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $720.00 |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 11-02 00:58 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $530.00 |
| 11-01 05:58 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.809789821 | $3.4k |
| 10-30 18:57 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.6k |
| 10-30 13:57 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $452.13 |
| 10-30 05:30 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2998440349 | $1.9k |
| 10-25 23:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.945 | $9.4k |
| 10-25 23:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.93897 | $4.7k |
| 10-25 23:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.902 | $5.4k |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.886996813 | $8.9k |
| 10-25 23:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8879387035 | $2.2k |
| 10-25 23:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8960266975 | $3.6k |
| 10-25 22:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6 | $80.18 |
| 10-25 22:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6792215959 | $3.4k |