PolyBot

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Traders

poptree

0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa

Realised P&L
$348.3k
Volume
$18.41M
Markets traded
627
Open portfolio
$53.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded627
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.735$22.6k+$768.74
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7100.735$15.4k+$515.00
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.3200.405$5.3k+$1.1k
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? · Yes0.8100.805$3.4k−$19.93
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.410$2.7k+$717.13
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.415$2.5k+$210.00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5300.615$1.8k+$255.00
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$108.83
Senate vote on Epstein bill by December 31? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$67.67
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$64.80
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00−$225.04
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$54.48
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00−$789.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$3.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:11Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$720.00
11-02 00:58Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.53$1.1k
11-02 00:58Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.53$530.00
11-01 05:58Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?BUY0.809789821$3.4k
10-30 18:57Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$7.6k
10-30 13:57Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.38$452.13
10-30 05:30Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.2998440349$1.9k
10-25 23:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.945$9.4k
10-25 23:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.93897$4.7k
10-25 23:24Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.902$5.4k
10-25 23:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.886996813$8.9k
10-25 23:21Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8879387035$2.2k
10-25 23:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8960266975$3.6k
10-25 22:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6$80.18
10-25 22:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6792215959$3.4k