PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Popete324

0x57b81030375a7dc00fea55e03758e56e2516405b

Realised P&L
$88.62
Volume
$38.8k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$19.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.2100.235$5.60+$0.60
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4500.445$4.94−$0.06
Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5700.480$4.21−$0.79
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4630.349$3.77−$1.23
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.1300.120$0.92−$0.08
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 14? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4470.000$0.00−$6.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.9900.000$0.00−$10.00
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down0.7100.000$0.00−$8.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSELL0.78$12.38
09-29 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.629999995$10.00
09-29 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSELL0.79$1.19
09-29 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSELL0.72$9.99
09-29 08:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.6499999935$10.00
09-28 19:15Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-28 19:15Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-28 19:14Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-28 19:13Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-22 09:51Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.4629999601$5.00
09-22 07:39Korea Open: Tamara Zidansek vs Kimberly BirrellBUY0.599999976$5.00
09-22 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSELL0.49$7.42
09-22 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-22 07:28Solana Up or Down - September 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.9099999991$10.00
09-22 07:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?BUY0.2501777012$5.00