Weather.price
0x57ae8a8255bb9807188faf31d86364b24ce9cc87
- Realised P&L
- $-95.07
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $10.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.57at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$9.38at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 21?
- +$8.58at 0.073Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
- +$6.23at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on June 2?
- +$5.54at 0.726Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.339999975 | $1.63 |
| 10-01 07:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.90 |
| 10-01 07:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-01 07:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.53 | $8.88 |
| 10-01 06:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1799999994 | $5.56 |
| 10-01 06:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.3699999946 | $6.20 |
| 10-01 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | SELL | 0.993 | $1.95 |
| 10-01 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.993 | $2.03 |
| 10-01 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.64 |
| 10-01 04:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.64 |
| 10-01 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.64 |