0x57aa56bDA3f7E6CC666850A8843EC25025231E05-1783499035884
0x57aa56bda3f7e6cc666850a8843ec25025231e05
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $600.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.420 | 0.825 | $196.43 | +$96.43 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.660 | 0.695 | $157.95 | +$7.95 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.475 | $131.94 | +$31.94 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.060 | $55.57 | −$44.43 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.080 | $25.92 | −$124.08 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.155 | $21.53 | −$78.47 |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.095 | $11.33 | −$88.67 |
| Spain to win the second half? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spain leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spain to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.480Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$190.82at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$122.96at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.34at 0.082Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
- +$-102.40at 0.532Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 21:24 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.1165583852 | $142.34 |
| 07-19 19:56 | Spain to win the second half? | BUY | 0.4793348005 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 19:47 | Spain to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:46 | Spain leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.1374435489 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 09:07 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 08:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 08:43 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 08:43 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 13:33 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 13:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 19:03 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999991 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 20:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $500.00 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999998 | $176.33 |
| 07-15 20:45 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299999993 | $300.00 |
| 07-15 18:15 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0818866689 | $100.00 |