0x579f4E87c40608e67c72e88a0b652a15Bd4F766f-1781281268337
0x579f4e87c40608e67c72e88a0b652a15bd4f766f
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $182.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar31.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.432 | 0.435 | $87.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.276 | $55.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.400 | $40.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.158Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$41.09at 0.315Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$33.66at 0.475Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$27.27at 0.427Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$21.35at 0.487Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 23:49 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9975 | $19.95 |
| 07-11 22:18 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.3774999562 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 20:46 | Morocco leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.60 |
| 07-09 20:31 | Morocco leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.0839999644 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 02:18 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2269999723 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 02:17 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 20:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 17:38 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 17:28 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 17:04 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 20:43 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 19:43 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 16:55 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 07-01 19:22 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4899999977 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 18:02 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |