TheBlitz
0x578d56d203e68a24745147e913837b49a29dbbaa
- Realised P&L
- $154.20
- Volume
- $116.9k
- Markets traded
- 935
- Open portfolio
- $467.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded935
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.47at 0.439Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 13?
- +$222.61at 0.446Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?
- +$201.77at 0.549Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?
- +$176.77at 0.113Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
- +$170.28at 0.545Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.79 | $35.55 |
| 10-14 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.78 | $46.80 |
| 10-14 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.953 | $285.90 |
| 10-14 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.868 | $23.69 |
| 10-14 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.867 | $80.08 |
| 10-14 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.76 | $15.42 |
| 10-13 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.27 |
| 10-13 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.26556 | $5.31 |
| 10-13 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.20 |
| 10-13 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-13 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8 | $18.53 |
| 10-13 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.5473800291 | $22.58 |
| 10-13 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.78 | $12.09 |
| 10-13 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.7482142857 | $20.95 |
| 10-13 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.7483333333 | $22.45 |