PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x578b4eCA716bbF09BA6263dabC23Fa3E9f0e3B07-1773673798025

0x578b4eca716bbf09ba6263dabc23fa3e9f0e3b07

Realised P&L
$103.12
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$140.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1550.155$69.75−$0.25
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Over0.6500.645$39.69−$0.31
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.4800.475$9.90−$0.10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.4000.390$9.75−$0.25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.4600.475$9.29+$0.29
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0170.004$2.00−$8.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.39
World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise · Olise0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.3950.000$0.00−$20.00
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5030.000$0.00−$30.00
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 16:52Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.4599999857$9.00
10-18 16:52Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
10-18 16:49Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.16$40.00
10-18 16:48Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.4$10.00
10-18 16:45Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5BUY0.6499999951$40.00
08-30 21:22Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.149999994$20.00
08-30 21:22Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-30 21:20Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0174779341$10.00
07-15 19:02England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5349999911$25.00
07-05 22:58United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-05 22:53Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-05 00:01United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$10.00
07-04 23:59United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$10.00
07-04 23:59Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999881$20.00
07-04 23:59Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.32$10.00