0x578403f68549876E60B5F663635733E766123823-1772130035655
0x578403f68549876e60b5f663635733e766123823
- Realised P&L
- $-107.70
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $23.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.40at 0.104Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$19.91at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$19.11at 0.421US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$18.96at 0.611Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$10.91at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.22 |
| 05-31 08:10 | Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.1720294631 | $19.88 |
| 05-31 08:09 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.0440000008 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 08:07 | Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? | BUY | 0.0945558584 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 08:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 08:03 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $8.82 |
| 05-31 06:06 | Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.5216 | $26.08 |
| 05-28 06:09 | Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 06:07 | Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999844 | $9.00 |
| 05-28 06:06 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.6842633053 | $12.21 |
| 05-20 03:16 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 05-20 03:15 | Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | SELL | 0.156 | $5.85 |
| 05-18 04:20 | Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.042474508 | $4.56 |
| 05-18 04:17 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06899998 | $3.00 |
| 05-18 04:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.26 |