melody5
0x57740eed890bdd3adbe9d1cc699be86572227319
- Realised P&L
- $-2.75
- Volume
- $121.47
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $32.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.62at 0.890Ethereum Up or Down on November 9?
- +$0.41at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$0.32at 0.760US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$0.27at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$0.26at 0.950Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:59 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:33 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 20:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 20:13 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 08:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 02-25 07:13 | Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 09:38 | Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 06:01 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |
| 02-10 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $0.98 |
| 02-09 08:20 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 08:20 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.954999883 | $2.00 |
| 02-04 08:41 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 02-02 07:48 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8959999713 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 18:03 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 18:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on January 28? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |