PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Katapultek

0x577162125e4b5a421b5f609c2984e9c27b913580

Realised P&L
$-231.21
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$13.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Variational launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0880.035$3.91−$6.09
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? · Yes0.0270.015$3.88−$2.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? · Yes0.0150.009$3.65−$2.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0340.029$2.17−$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET · Up0.0960.000$0.00−$12.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 7? · No0.0260.000$0.00−$10.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? · Up0.3150.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:48Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?BUY0.026644$6.66
10-08 15:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?BUY0.015$6.45
10-08 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.3$9.00
10-08 06:59Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.3399999966$6.00
10-08 06:59Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.1$7.22
10-04 13:08Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
10-04 13:04Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?BUY0.1899999962$7.00
10-03 12:26Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.089999999$6.50
10-03 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?SELL0.0751$7.51
10-03 08:04Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?BUY0.06$6.00
10-03 08:03Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELL0.08$8.00
10-02 14:54Will Variational launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0882352936$10.00
10-02 14:50Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.07$7.00
10-02 10:52Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.0699999996$8.00
10-01 19:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2?SELL0.0331435315$10.39