sdvew4f
0x5769d66b0d79da7236332174ca85b1c0871edc68
- Realised P&L
- $0.28
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.41 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 6? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.77at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 8?
- +$22.70at 0.500S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 6?
- +$12.36at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on October 10?
- +$0.46at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 21?
- +$0.31at 0.960Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 24.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.69 |
| 09-26 14:56 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 24.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $7.49 |
| 09-04 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.4k |
| 07-01 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.72 |
| 06-26 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.63 |
| 06-15 05:09 | Spread: Jordan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 06-11 00:41 | Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.968 | $5.71 |
| 06-06 02:21 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on June 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $8.20 |
| 05-28 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.78 |
| 05-20 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.9680046358 | $14.62 |
| 05-14 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 04-21 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 23? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.31 |
| 04-13 06:18 | Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.9910014265 | $3.5k |