PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0B06

0x576315d31495f237c216fb1973794838e6111c22

Realised P&L
$7.2k
Volume
$2.41M
Markets traded
411
Open portfolio
$157.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded411
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5? · No0.9270.755$144.01−$32.89
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4380.429$12.88−$0.26
Will Nikos Androulakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes0.0120.017$0.18+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:10Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 2?BUY0.95$9.46
10-02 14:32Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.99$5.93
10-02 14:32Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.99$13.55
10-02 14:13Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.99$2.3k
10-02 11:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.438$13.14
10-02 07:00Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.54$8.64
10-01 12:32MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?BUY0.94$28.19
10-01 12:32MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?BUY0.93$76.26
10-01 12:32MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?BUY0.92$27.60
10-01 12:31MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?BUY0.92$44.85
10-01 04:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.63$10.08
09-30 21:13Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.83$39.01
09-29 20:21Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.98$1.6k
09-29 18:26Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?SELL0.9885136986$2.9k
09-28 18:35Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.9505255251$1.2k